Question

Will Kevin McCarthy visit Taiwan in 2023?

Resolved:No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

19.2

Community Baseline Score

48.7

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Feb 9, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 11, 2023

Geopolitics

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

Taiwan’s Failed Mass Recall Vote: What Is Next?

Red State•Aug 30, 2025

Senior U.S. Senator visits Taiwan, calls it "a free country" with "right to remain free" as China threat looms

CBS•Aug 29, 2025

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