206 forecasters

Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)?

Recep Tayyip Erdoğanresult: Yes

Kemal Kılıçdaroğluresult: No

Ali Babacanresult: No

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

Ali Babacan

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger RyanBeck

Opened:

Feb 7, 2023

Closes:

Jun 1, 2023

Resolved:

May 29, 2023

2023 Leaderboard

Turkish mayor detained in corruption probe as opposition faces crackdown

Guardian•Sep 13, 2025

Istanbul’s jailed opposition mayor greeted with cheers as he enters a prison courtroom

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2025

Zohran Mamdani Chances of Winning NYC Mayoral Race as Eric Adams Stays In

Newsweek•Sep 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch