Question

Will Ukraine be confirmed to have used chemical weapons against Russian forces by January 1, 2024?

Resolved:No
9
Total Forecasters65
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
98.2
Community Peer Score
4.6
Authors:
ForkLeaf
Opened:May 8, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 10, 2023
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard