Question

Will there be at least 10,000 confirmed deaths due to H5N1 before 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters76
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
97.0
Community Peer Score
2.0
Authors:
Opened:Feb 8, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 9, 2023