126 forecasters

If Erdoğan loses the 2023 presidential election, will he abdicate the presidency?

75%chance

75%chance

Annulled

Annulled

The community gave this a 75% chance, and it resolved Annulled.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Feb 13, 2023

Closes:

Jun 1, 2023

Resolved:

May 29, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 14, 2023

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