44 forecasters

Will US sovereign debt be downgraded in 2023?

3%chance

3%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 3% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 12, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Aug 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 14, 2023

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

France's borrowing costs rise after Fitch downgrade — and there could be more bad news ahead

CNBC•Sep 15, 2025

France’s Debt Woes Mount as Fitch Downgrades Credit Rating

Bloomberg•Sep 13, 2025

France’s credit rating downgraded, with debt forecast to keep rising amid political turmoil

Guardian•Sep 13, 2025

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