Question
When will the first same-sex couple have a child that is produced by the sperm of one parent and the egg of the other?
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
Jun 2048
(Nov 2037 - Sep 2061)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Nov 2037 | — |
| median | Jun 2048 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2061 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Mar 2063 | 23.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2023
Closes:Mar 1, 2063
Scheduled resolution:Mar 2, 2063
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 4, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2023
Closes:Mar 1, 2063
Scheduled resolution:Mar 2, 2063
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 4, 2023