18 comments
41 forecasters
How many seats will the various eurosceptic groups collectively achieve for the EU Parliament election, 2019?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2018
Closes:May 21, 2019
Resolved:Aug 5, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2018
How many parliamentary seats will the Sweden Democrats win in the Swedish 2026 general election?
74.2 seats
(66.3 - 82)
74.2 seats
(66.3 - 82)
18 forecasters
Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?
10% chance
58
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
0.3% chance
959