53 comments
128 forecasters
Will Virgin Galactic have a successful commercial flight before July 1, 2023?
76%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 76% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2023
Closes:Jun 29, 2023
Resolved:Jun 29, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2023
Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?
13% chance
126
When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?
Sep 2031
(03 Sep 2027 - Jan 2044)
Sep 2031
(03 Sep 2027 - Jan 2044)
23 forecasters
What will be the cumulative number of private citizens visiting space for the first time?
38 forecasters