🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?

5
23
24 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Dateresolution

PDF

CDF

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
<200M
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>700M
0.8%
358.5M
370.2M
384.9M
0.8%

What was the final result?371M

Community Baseline Score
138.9
Community Peer Score
9.2

Forecast Timeline

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