Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
15
137
forecasters
13
15 comments
137 forecasters
Elections
1 more...
On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (15)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
7 comments
43 forecasters
Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?
99.9%
chance
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
15 comments
247 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
JD Vance
46%
Ron DeSantis
4.4%
Marco Rubio
19.3%
Other
24.7%
4 others
207 comments
818 forecasters
Donald Trump Incarceration by 2030?
2%
chance
75 comments
183 forecasters
Trump in power beyond 2028?
2.5%
chance
4 comments
49 forecasters
US Constitution allows third term by Nov 2028?
2.2%
chance
5 comments
25 forecasters
US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028
1%
chance
2 comments
93 forecasters
Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
4%
2027-2028
15%