M

Question

Will there be a major conflict involving an external actor in Transnistria before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No1%
Total Forecasters84
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
80.0
Community Peer Score
8.0
median 1.0%mean 1.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

? comments