46 forecasters

Will the incarceration rate in the US drop below 500 per 100,000 by 2022?

25%chance

25%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 25% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 15, 2018

Closes:

Mar 1, 2019

Resolved:

Aug 30, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 16, 2018

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