Question

Will the incarceration rate in the US drop below 500 per 100,000 by 2022?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction
25%
(17% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
52.7
Community Peer Score
15.9
Authors:
Opened:Nov 15, 2018
Closes:Mar 1, 2019
Resolves:Aug 30, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 16, 2018