144 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

22%chance

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 5, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 16, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 6, 2018

Environment & Climate

Overshooting the critical 1.5°C warming threshold is now INEVITABLE, UN chief warns - and the consequences are going to be 'devastating'

Daily Mail•Oct 23, 2025

Greenhouse Gases In Earth’s Atmosphere Hit New Record

Forbes•Oct 20, 2025

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