Question
How much less global warming if the US resumes participation in the Paris Agreement?
Resolved:-0.00625Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction
0.0443
(-0.0128 - 0.101)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | -0.01284 | — |
| median | 0.04431 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.1007 | — |
What was the final result?-0.00625
Community Baseline Score
38.9
Community Peer Score
32.9
Authors:
Opened:Nov 5, 2018
Closes:Jan 7, 2021
Resolves:Jan 13, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 7, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Nov 5, 2018
Closes:Jan 7, 2021
Resolves:Jan 13, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 7, 2018