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85 forecasters
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Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?
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Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation before the following years?
2027
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2028
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2030
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chance
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Countries With 1+ Fatality From Nuclear Det.
Ukraine
15.1%
Israel
13%
Pakistan
11%
India
10%
4 others
10 comments
77 forecasters
Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?
2027
3%
2030
7%
2035
15%
10 comments
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Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
51%
chance
6 comments
46 forecasters
Number of Cities Attacked Offensively
Europe
14.7
Russia
13.2
United States
10.7
China
10.5
4 others