Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
138
comments
1.2k
forecasters
When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?
community
14 Aug 2025
result
07 Aug 2025 17:00 UTC
Share
Top Key Factors
View all (1)
Break out of other LLM (Gemini, Claude...)
Impact
later
Strength
28 votes
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
H559
Opened:
Mar 15, 2023
Closes:
May 14, 2026
Resolved:
Aug 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:
Mar 16, 2023
Business of AI
Effective Institutions Project
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
News Match
OpenAI rolled out GPT-5.1 Pro to all Pro users.
Verge
•
Nov 20, 2025
Google Boss Issues Warning Ahead of Gemini 3.0 Launch
Newsweek
•
Nov 19, 2025
Google launches Gemini 3 with new coding app and record benchmark scores
TechCrunch
•
Nov 18, 2025
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
19 Mar 2027
(24 Sep 2026 - 20 Oct 2027)
19 Mar 2027
(24 Sep 2026 - 20 Oct 2027)
18
forecasters
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?
8
Mar 2034
6
Jun 2032
4
31 May 2029
1 other
21
forecasters
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be downloadable by the general public?
6
Apr 2032
4
Dec 2031
2
17 May 2028
11
forecasters
Show More Questions
