Question
When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?
Total Forecasters1135
Community Prediction
23 Aug 2025
(01 Jul 2025 09:54 - 09 Nov 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 01 Jul 2025 09:54 | — |
| median | 23 Aug 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 09 Nov 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15 May 2026 | 5.7% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2023
Closes:May 14, 2026
Scheduled resolution:May 15, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2023
Closes:May 14, 2026
Scheduled resolution:May 15, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch