52 comments
69 forecasters
When will OpenAI make the GPT-4 model available for free ChatGPT users?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:May 13, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 17, 2023
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
09 Mar 2027
(26 Sep 2026 - 15 Dec 2027)
09 Mar 2027
(26 Sep 2026 - 15 Dec 2027)
16 forecasters
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?
21 forecasters
Will OpenAI offer ChatGPT in China before 2026?
1% chance
71