Question
When will a humanoid robot be created that the general public judges as indistinguishable from humans?
Total Forecasters64
Community Prediction
Aug 2047
(Sep 2036 - Aug 2071)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Sep 2036 | — |
| median | Aug 2047 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2071 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 12.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 7, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 9, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Apr 7, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 9, 2023
