Question

When will a humanoid robot be created that the general public judges as indistinguishable from humans?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction2052-05-06

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-01

...

2036-12-20 23:18

2052-05-06 18:54

2075-05-12 22:16

14.2%

Authors:

TNTOutburst

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

2031-11-29

Will China be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2025?

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

Comments

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Authors:

TNTOutburst

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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New York Post•Oct 9, 2024

Inside the world's first humanoid factory, where robots could eventually build themselves

CNBC•Oct 10, 2024

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When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

2031-11-29