Question
When will a humanoid robot be created that the general public judges as indistinguishable from humans?
Total Forecasters65
Community Prediction
Jun 2051
(Oct 2037 - 2077)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Oct 2037 | — |
| median | Jun 2051 | — |
| upper 75% | 2077 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 16.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 7, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 9, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Apr 7, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 9, 2023