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47 forecasters
Will GPT-4 exhibit a capability jump for Leetcode questions before 2024?
8%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 8% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 16, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2023
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?
21 forecasters
What will state-of-the-art top-1 accuracy on the APPS Benchmark introductory problems be from 2022 to 2025?
23 forecasters
In the following years, what will be the highest LLM scores on the GPQA Diamond benchmark?
20 forecasters