Question
What will the community average log-score be after the 500th question?
Resolved:0.155Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction
0.162
(0.154 - 0.171)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.1536 | — |
| median | 0.1623 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.1709 | — |
What was the final result?0.155
Community Baseline Score
50.2
Community Peer Score
2.2
Authors:
Opened:Nov 10, 2018
Closes:Feb 17, 2019
Resolves:Mar 11, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 12, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Nov 10, 2018
Closes:Feb 17, 2019
Resolves:Mar 11, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 12, 2018