Question

[Short Fuse] Will Credit Suisse experience any of the following scenarios before May 2023?

Resolved:Yes

16 comments16

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction

99%

(98% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

0.2

Community Baseline Score

2.5

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Mar 18, 2023

Closes:

Apr 30, 2023

Resolves:

Apr 30, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 19, 2023

Economy & Business

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?

299

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Mar 18, 2023

Closes:

Apr 30, 2023

Resolves:

Apr 30, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 19, 2023

Economy & Business

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?

299