81 comments
148 forecasters
Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2100?
30%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 28, 2023
Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?
48% chance
39
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
80 forecasters
What will be the US' score in the Freedom in the World Report for 2050?
77.8 points
(68.6 - 85.3)
77.8 points
(68.6 - 85.3)
21 forecasters