100 forecasters

Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024?

0.1%chance

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Apr 2, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 3, 2023

2023 Leaderboard

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CNN•Sep 15, 2025

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Al Jazeera•Sep 14, 2025

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Associated Press•Sep 12, 2025

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