62 forecasters

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

53%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Apr 2, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 4, 2023

Trump's Venezuela war-footing has sparked fantasy of 'killing Maduro'

Daily Mail•Sep 14, 2025

Nicolás Maduro Calls Venezuelans to Join ‘Armed Resistance’ Against U.S.

Breitbart•Sep 13, 2025

Is a new civil war in the U.S. possible?

Strategic Culture•Sep 12, 2025

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