Question

Will the WHO identify a new SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern before 2024?

Resolved :No

15 comments15

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction

(0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

55.7

Community Peer Score

36.3

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Mar 31, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 4, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

May 25, 2023

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Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?

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