130 forecasters

Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?

55%chance

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 19, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 21, 2018

Natural Sciences

Exoplanet could have Earth-like atmosphere, study suggests

CNN•Sep 18, 2025

Photosynthesis May Limit Complex Life Around Red Dwarf Stars

Forbes•Sep 15, 2025

NASA Discovery Is the ‘Closest We Have Ever Come to Discovering Life on Mars’

PJ Media•Sep 14, 2025

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