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18 comments
53 forecasters

Will the US Supreme Court declare the Indian Child Welfare Act unconstitutional?

50%chance
50%chance
ResolvedNo
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 50% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:Apr 5, 2023
Closes:Jun 30, 2023
Resolved:Jun 15, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2023
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Why a Supreme Court case from Louisiana will matter for the future of the Voting Rights Act
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Supreme Court hears case that questions major plank of voting rights
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Future of Voting Rights Act hangs in the balance as Louisiana's congressional map returns to Supreme Court
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Will inter-racial marriage be banned in any US State by 2030?

0.1% chance
361

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

10% chance
234

Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case that could end the constitutional right to same-sex marriage?

50% chance
8
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