🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Which party will win the most seats in the 2023 Polish parliamentary (Sejm) elections?

5
8
44 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

PartyMe
Law and Justice (PiS)
yes
Civic Platform
no
New Left
no
Polish Coalition
no
Confederation
no
Poland 2050
no
Agreement
no
Kukiz'15
no
Democratic Left
no
Resolved Oct 10, 2023
Community Baseline Score
54.4
Community Peer Score
-2.7
Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2023 Leaderboard
2023 Polish parliamentary election
Sejm
Civic Coalition (Poland)
Civic Platform
Democratic Left Alliance
New Left
Polish Coalition
Polish People's Party
D'Hondt method

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