Question

Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters228
Community Prediction
90%
(70% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
15.2
Community Peer Score
25.9
Authors:
Opened:Apr 17, 2023
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolves:Nov 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 19, 2023