412 forecasters

Will China's GDP exceed the United States' GDP in any year before 2041?

59%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 19, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2042

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2043

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 19, 2018

Economy & Business

China’s economic growth slows amid Trump tariff war and property woes

Guardian•Oct 20, 2025

China's economic growth slows to 4.8%, hit by tariffs and slack demand

NBC•Oct 20, 2025

China’s economy slows to 4.8% annual growth in July-September, hit by tariffs and slack demand

Associated Press•Oct 20, 2025

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