17 comments
196 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
5%chance
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Opened:Nov 22, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:May 31, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2018
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29% chance
282
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1% chance
194
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33% chance
413