Question
When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?
Total Forecasters137
Community Prediction
Aug 2043
(Oct 2035 - Oct 2056)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <Dec 2019 | 1.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Oct 2035 | — |
| median | Aug 2043 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2056 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 4.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 26, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Nov 26, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2018