Question

When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?

Total Forecasters134
Community Prediction
Mar 2043
(May 2035 - Jan 2053)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<Dec 20191.8%
Quartiles
lower 25%May 2035
medianMar 2043
upper 75%Jan 2053
Upper bound
>21005.8%
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 26, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2018