442 forecasters

Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars?

4%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 30, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2095

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2095

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 30, 2018

Economy & Business

SpaceX to launch Starship today in crucial test of Elon Musk’s Mars plans

Independent•Oct 13, 2025

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Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?

Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?

Will SpaceX successfully land the following on Mars before 2035?

An uncrewed craft

At least one person

At least one person—and return them to Earth