12 comments
131 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?
95%chance
Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2023
When will an AI gain unauthorized access to systems outside its designated environment?
06 Oct 2028
(26 Apr 2027 - 08 Jul 2030)
06 Oct 2028
(26 Apr 2027 - 08 Jul 2030)
16 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?
78% chance
53
Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?
93% chance
44