Question

Will a citizen of the People's Republic of China be declared a 2019 Nobel Prize winner?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters73
Community Prediction
31%
(20% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 31%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
52.4
Community Peer Score
2.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2018
Closes:Jul 31, 2019
Resolves:Oct 14, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 4, 2018