194 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Dec 4, 2018

Closes:

Jan 2, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 23, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 5, 2018

Ragnarök Series

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Climate tipping points sound scary, especially for ice sheets and oceans – here’s why there’s still room for optimism

The Conversation•Oct 13, 2025

Key climate tipping point is BREACHED for the first time – and scientists warn it will cause ‘catastrophic harm’ unless urgent action is taken

Daily Mail•Oct 13, 2025

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