4 comments
33 forecasters
Will genetic data from a new Denisova hominin be published in the first 6 months of 2019?
33%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 33% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2018
Resolved:Jun 30, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 7, 2018
When will a Neanderthal be born again?
>2099
(>2099 - >2099)
>2099
(>2099 - >2099)
30 forecasters
Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 2030?
73% chance
69
When will the Chinese government have gathered genome-wide data on 1 billion citizens?
07 Nov 2028
(17 Dec 2024 - Oct 2034)
07 Nov 2028
(17 Dec 2024 - Oct 2034)
33 forecasters