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52 forecasters

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52 forecasters

Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?

ResolvedNo

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7 comments61 forecasters

US Fatality from Nuclear Weapon Detonation

35 comments193 forecasters

No Non-Test Nuclear Detonations before 2035

2 comments64 forecasters

Fatal Non-state Nuclear Detonation by 2030

0 comments24 forecasters

First Detonation by 2050 Inadvertent

1 comment21 forecasters

First detonation accidental/unauthorized?

69 comments529 forecasters

At least 1 Nuclear Detonation in War by 2050

7 comments27 forecasters

Date of First Nuclear Detonation

Current estimate

9 comments314 forecasters

Countries With 1+ Fatality From Nuclear Det.