52 forecasters

Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?

0.3%chance

0.3%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 19, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 2, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 21, 2023

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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