Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

14 forecasters

14 forecasters

Regulation of AI

Will the Global Partnership on AI be active by the following years?

2026result: Yes

203133%

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

5 comments90 forecasters

Before 2029, will a new AI safety org form with 3+ G7 members?

2 comments48 forecasters

AI benefits redistribution mechanism?

3 comments86 forecasters

Int'l TAI oversight agency before 2030

1 comment31 forecasters

US-China AI Treaty

21 comments110 forecasters

US-China AGI-limiting treaty signed before 2030?

1 comment40 forecasters

5Y after AGI, Windfall Clause activated?

3 comments50 forecasters

AI labs collaborate at least a little on safety in 2030?

3 comments34 forecasters

Mandatory GCR-Focused Evals for AI Systems