Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
5
29
forecasters
9
5 comments
29 forecasters
Business of AI
4 more...
Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before January 1st of the following years?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
2031
8%
2026
result:
No
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (5)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
1 comment
40 forecasters
5Y after AGI, Windfall Clause activated?
1%
chance
42 comments
218 forecasters
OpenAI solves alignment before June 30 2027?
1%
chance
15 comments
41 forecasters
Leading Lab No Safety
2026
result:
Yes
2030
28%
2036
20%
3 comments
50 forecasters
AI labs collaborate at least a little on safety in 2030?
11%
chance
10 comments
41 forecasters
Number of New Leading AI Labs
0 or 1
49.8%
2 or 3
32.9%
4 or 5
11.9%
6 or 7
3.2%
2 others
6 comments
97 forecasters
Will OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet CEO pledge AI autonomy limits before 2027?
10%
chance
21 comments
110 forecasters
US-China AGI-limiting treaty signed before 2030?
5%
chance
4 comments
62 forecasters
Frontier model released in 2029 without third-party evals?
75%
chance