Question
When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's Moon, or Mars?
Total Forecasters101
Community Prediction
Jan 2051
(Dec 2038 - 2079)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <Jan 2020 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Dec 2038 | — |
| median | Jan 2051 | — |
| upper 75% | 2079 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 15.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2018