21 comments
101 forecasters
When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's Moon, or Mars?
Current estimate
Jan 2051
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2018
How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?
44.2 people
(22.1 - 112)
44.2 people
(22.1 - 112)
17 forecasters
When will the next human being walk on the Moon?
22 Apr 2029
(06 Oct 2026 - May 2033)
22 Apr 2029
(06 Oct 2026 - May 2033)
271 forecasters
By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?
16.7 people
(13.6 - 22.6)
16.7 people
(13.6 - 22.6)
241 forecasters