Question
What will be the heaviest payload (in kg) put into LEO by a launch vehicle that is in service on January 1, 2050?
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction
224k kg
(129k kg - 413k kg)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1000 kg | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 128.9k kg | — |
| median | 224.3k kg | — |
| upper 75% | 412.9k kg | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10M kg | 0.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 9, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Dec 9, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2018