154 forecasters

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Dec 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 13, 2018